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October 2003 issue
Getting Bent Over Stents: The Battle Goes On
Drug-eluting stents work, are becoming
very popular with cardiac patients, and are at the center of several
lawsuits. So far, Johnson & Johnson remains at the top. See page
1
Public Equity Market
Two IPOs get priced, but they are not
going to get the market excited for the ones waiting to go. As a result of
recent price surges, four secondary offerings are also priced. See page 2
Private Placement
With the public markets still not ready
for much business, 19 companies raised more than $213 million in the private
placement market. See page 5
Feature Stories
M&A Market: Third quarter volume
rises, with 230 deals. See page 6
Venture Capital Market: A record level of deal volume. See page 10
Profile: Ambrx New company taps experience and gets its first venture
capital round. See page 14
Charts
Public Equity Market - 3
Private Placement Market - 4
M&A Announcements - 7
Stock Chart See page - 8-9
Venture Capital Market - 11-12
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Getting Bent Over Stents: The Battle Goes
On While two companies already
in the drug-eluting stent
business are squaring off and two other companies are preparing to jump
in, some studies are showing that the high degree of consumer demand for
these products may not be warranted.
Eight hundred thousand
Americans have stents implanted during the course of balloon angioplasty
each year. Before the invention of stents, about one out of every two
patients who underwent such a procedure would experience restenosis—narrowing
of the arteries again. Bare metal stents were introduced in 1987 and cut
the occurrence of restenosis down to one in three patients—and in only one
in six would it be severe enough to require a repeat procedure.
This year, the first drug-eluting stents
(drug-coated stents that release medication to prevent restenosis),
introduced in April 2003, hit the U.S. market with all the force of a
wonder drug. Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE: JNJ) Cordis Corp.’s
Cypher drug-eluting stent, the first to receive FDA approval, captured
more than half of the U.S. stent market within its first four months of
availability.
Three other companies are poised to enter
this lucrative market. But while the popularity of the drug-eluting stent
concept has been very good for the bottom line of JNJ and has given a bump
to its closest competitor, its impact on hospitals and insurers is
considerably more negative: Each Cypher costs almost four times as much as
a plain metal stent, and angioplasty patients generally receive two stents
each—at a cost of over $6,000 per patient for Cyphers, opposed to $800 for
plain stents. It’s a potential $4.8 billion annual blockbuster market
that, in bare metal, was only a $640 million market. However, overall
costs will be ameliorated if, as projected, lower rates of restenosis cut
down on the need for bypass surgery.
Boston Scientific Corp.
(NYSE: BSX), which has a large stent business, suffered from Cypher’s
competition, but its own Taxus drug-eluting stent has passed key trials,
with the latest announcement of results triggering an almost 8% jump in
BSX’s stock price. Strong sales of Taxus in Europe, where it is already
approved, caused BSX to increase its guidance for third-quarter sales and
earnings. Analysts expect Taxus to add $1 billion to BSX’s current $2.9
billion annual revenues.
The final size of the market will depend on
how many different circumstances the stents can be useful for. Currently
the Cypher statistics are only available for patients who have short
blockages that fill almost the entire artery and who have never had
previous surgical intervention. In those cases, 27% fewer patients
experienced restenosis with the Cypher. Studies do not yet exist for a
wider range of usage—different amounts of blockage, different blood
vessels, different surgical histories—that makes up the entire stent
market.
Cypher is coated with the antirejection drug
Sirolimus (rapamycin). Its would-be competitors each use a different drug,
and have minor differences of size and shape, but are similar enough that
Cordis Corp. has filed patent infringement lawsuits against BSX,
Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) and Guidant (NYSE: GDT). So far, in
August a federal court ordered GDT to pay JNJ $425 million, and MDT is
appealing a court award of $271 million in damages to JNJ. BSX, on the
other hand, is countersuing Cordis. Treading more lightly, Edwards
Lifesciences (NYSE: EW) is introducing new stents, but focusing on the
less competitive noncoronary and peripheral stent markets.
Medtronic’s drug-eluting stent, Endeavor, is
moving along in its clinical trials, as is Guidant’s Champion stent, on
target for a 2005 launch.
Since only one in six candidates for a
coronary stent will experience restenosis, cautious cardiac-catherization
practitioners point out that it costs $48,000 to treat those six patients
with Cyphers in order to prevent one case of restenosis. But patients
don’t like those one-in-six odds, and cardiologists across the country
report almost universal demand among their patients for drug-eluting
stents. Preliminary projections are for drug-eluting stents to virtually
control the stent—at least the coronary stent—market by the end of 2004.
Medicare has already approved reimbursement
for the new stents (the Medicare price is $2,400), and the elderly are
lining up, not wanting to take any chances with having another procedure.
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