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November 2006 issue
Harborside Sails Into Sun(set) - A $625
Million Deal A Long Time In The Making
In a much anticipated transaction, Sun
Healthcare Group is buying Harborside Healthcare for $625 million.
...
IPO Filed For Skilled Health - If Successful,
It Will Be the Second IPO In Eight Years
Less than a year after buying Skilled Healthcare Group, Onex Partners is
taking the company public in what will be a much-watched IPO.
...
Assisted Living Market
Several portfolio sales were announced in October, including one at a
record-setting price of $454,000 per unit. Who said the market is peaking?
...
CCRC/Independent Living Market
David Freshwater is back in the CCRC business, with two large acquisitions
in the Northeast.
...
Gossip and Updates
The granddaddy of them all is testing the market in a multi-billion dollar
deal, and Carlyle Senior Living is capitalizing on the strong market,
again.
...
REITs
An early Christmas present for Omega Healthcare Investors, and Ventas and
Kindred have an agreement.
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Companies Mentioned in this issue:
November 2006
A
Adcare Health Systems p4
Advocat p16
Assisted Living Concepts p4
B
Banc of America Securities p3
Bank of America p14
Blackstone Real Estate Partners p7
BPM Senior Living Company p11
Bristal Assisted Living p8
Brookdale Senior Living p1
C
Carlyle Senior Living p15
Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT p7
Chartwell-ING p7
CLW Health Care Services Group p10
CNL Retirement Properties p10
Cohen & Steers p14
Commonwealth Assisted Living p11
Credit Suisse p3
Cypress Communities p7
E
Emeritus Assisted Living p7
Extendicare p4
F
Formation Capital p7
Fortress Investment Group p2
Fountain View p2
Fremont Realty Capital p12
G
GE Healthcare Financial Services p7
Grand Court Lifestyles p1
Greenfield Assisted Living p11
Guaranty Bank p12
H
Hallmark Rehabilitation p2
Harborside Healthcare Corporation p1
HCA p15
Health Care Property Investors p10
Heritage Partners p2
Holiday Retirement Corporation p14
Horizon Bay Chartwell p10
Horizon Bay Management p10
I
Investcorp International p4
K
Kindred Healthcare p16
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. p15
M
Magellan Health Services p2
Manor Care p3
Marcus & Millichap p7
Mayfair Management p11
Merrill Lynch Capital Healthcare Finance p12
N
Newton Senior Living p12
O
Omega Healthcare Investors p16
Onex Corp. p2
Onex Partners p2
P
Peak Medical p6
Prime Care Management p7
R
Res-Care p2
S
Senior Housing Investment Advisors p10
SHG Holding Solutions, Inc. p2
Skilled Healthcare Group p2
Sotheby’s International Realty p16
Sun Healthcare Group p1
Sunrise Senior Living p12
T
Tandem Health Care p1, p7
Texas Pacific Group p15
The Berkshire Companies p1
The Blackstone Group p15
The Fountains p12
The Freshwater Group p12
U
UBS Investment Bank p1, p3
V
Ventas p16
W
Walton Street Capital, LLC p10 |
Harborside Sails Into Sun(set) - A
$625 Million Deal A Long Time In The Making
Email Editor
After several months of potential bidders taking a look at
the assets and operations of Harborside Healthcare Corporation, and
with investment banker UBS Investment Bank narrowing the field down
to the final four or five, everyone’s favorite to be the winning bidder
seemed to be Sun Healthcare Group (NASDAQ: SUNH), including some of
the other bidders. In September, Sun CEO Rick Matros was heard to quip, "I
might as well be wearing a ‘Buy Harborside’ t-shirt!"
So in one of the biggest non-surprises of the year, Sun
came out on top in a field that towards the end of the game had also
included a handful of financial buyers. But in this case, the strategic
importance of the deal, combined with Sun’s capacity to assimilate
Harborside’s facilities at little additional overhead cost, made Sun a
buyer on a mission, and shareholders were thrilled. A little known fact is
that the two companies had serious discussions a few years ago, but with
their roles reversed, so there is some familiarity between the two.
Harborside commenced operations in 1988 and
initially was under the control of The Berkshire Companies and the
Krupp family. During the 1990s the company completed more than 10
acquisitions in seven states, paying between $38,000 per bed and $87,000
per bed for most of its acquisitions. During the IPO bonanza in the 1990s,
Harborside went public in mid-June of 1996, selling 3.6 million shares at
$11.75 per share. Just two years later, Investcorp International
paid $291 million for a 91% interest in the company, when Harborside had
47 facilities with about 5,700 beds, which came to an adjusted 9.5x 1997
EBITDAR.
The timing was horrible, as over the next
two years the skilled nursing industry suffered its worse financial
depression ever. In those two years, six of the major publicly traded
skilled nursing chains filed for bankruptcy protection as a result of
changes to Medicare reimbursement and excessive leverage, losing almost
$9.0 billion in shareholder value from their peak prices. While Investcorp
may have intended a three- to five-year investment horizon, it turned into
eight years, but it was well worth the wait as the skilled nursing market
is currently in its best financial condition since 1998.
Financial details. Sun is paying
approximately $625 million for Harborside, made up of $350 million in cash
and $275 million of assumed debt, plus assuming leases on 26 facilities.
In eight years, Harborside has expanded to 76 facilities and just under
9,100 beds, with most of that growth coming in the past 15 months with two
acquisitions in Kentucky of 20 facilities and one in Connecticut with
three. For the 12 months ended June 30, 2006, Harborside had revenues of
$544 million, but that would have increased to $635 million after giving
full credit for the recent acquisitions. The current revenue run-rate is
closer to $660 million (inclusive of all pending acquisitions), or triple
the revenues when Investcorp bought the company in 1998. More importantly,
EBITDAR has grown from $33.7 million in 1997 to an estimated pro forma of
about $90 million.
There are a lot of numbers floating around,
confused in part by Harborside’s recent acquisitions and various
assumptions regarding the synergies with Sun and the associated reduction
in costs. The best we can tell is that after approximately $20 million in
annual rent, recent operating improvements and adjusting for the $12
million to $15 million in expected synergies, Harborside will have an
adjusted EBITDA of between $80 million and $85 million, which puts the
transaction multiple (at least for Sun) at between 7.5x and 8.0x EBITDA.
Admittedly, this is for the expected
annualized performance after Sun takes over, which won’t be until the end
of the first quarter 2007 at the earliest. And, these EBITDA assumptions
do not take into consideration the capital expenditure requirements, which
we have heard were cause for concern for at least some of the buyers,
especially the financial buyers who did not have the strategic synergies
that Sun would have. In measuring their expected rate of return, they just
did not want to have to worry about above-average capex costs to continue
Harborside’s expansion in the high-end Medicare business. The capex, or
"replacement reserve," rule of thumb is $300 per bed, but we all know that
this number is woefully inadequate, especially for skilled nursing
facilities that are usually 20 to 30 years old. So, doubling that, which
is still probably low, would decrease EBITDA by at least $5 million. But
the multiple remains attractive in this market, and a pro forma cap rate
over 12% for an acquisition of this size, in this frothy market, is
appealing even to us. Unfortunately, we do not know Sun’s opinion on the
capex issue, but Sun does have that $12 million to $15 million synergistic
cushion, which others did not have.
Capacity to grow. Several years ago,
Sun had claimed that it could double its size without adding much
overhead, and this is a major reason why the Harborside acquisition was
worth more to Sun than to other buyers. The deal is estimated to be
accretive by $0.05 to $0.07 per share based on a full year’s performance,
and what’s not to like about that? Investors were obviously impressed,
taking Sun’s shares up by almost 18% to a 30-month high of $14.00 per
share before settling down a little. The bottom line is that from a
financial perspective this is a good transaction for Sun, and investors
must have recognized that. It didn’t hurt that several analysts covering
the stock liked it as well and raised their price targets.
There is even more good news. Harborside’s
Medicare mix and overall occupancy are 400 basis points higher than Sun’s,
and after exercising various purchase options, Harborside will own 53 of
its 76 facilities, compared with just 30 out of 155 at Sun, and Sun’s
management has a goal of increasing its ownership percentage. However,
some of the Harborside facilities may be sold and leased back in order to
finance the acquisition. As an aside, Sun’s overall occupancy declined
after it closed the Peak Medical acquisition last year, but it
should be rising with this deal. And, Harborside’s operating margin is
higher than Sun’s, helping with the earnings accretion.
On the negative side, 46 of
Harborside’s 76 facilities are in six states that will be new to Sun’s
portfolio, including Kentucky (20 facilities), Connecticut (10) and
Florida (9). But the acquisition does significantly increase Sun’s
penetration in states such as Ohio, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. When
the deal is completed, nearly 50% of Sun’s facilities will be in six
states, and 66% in 10 states. But from a geographic point of view, it will
look like two distinct companies. One will consist of 79 facilities (34%
of the total) in nine states from California to the Rockies, while the
other will consist of 142 facilities (61% of the total) in 15 states east
of the Mississippi. The remaining 5%, or 12 properties, are in Oklahoma.
As we all know, size matters, but we hope Sun management is not spreading
itself too thin from an operations perspective, not to mention 25
different Medicaid reimbursement systems to deal with.
The other cause for concern
is the price per bed that Sun is paying for Harborside. While
acknowledging that the cash flow multiple and the level of earnings
accretion are the more important acquisition criteria, we do believe in
checks and balances. After capitalizing the leases, the acquisition comes
to about $90,000 per bed, which is obviously at the high end of the
market, but not too far from recent transactions, such as the sale last
summer of Tandem Health Care and the six Formation Capital
skilled nursing portfolios. This relatively high price is also increasing
Sun’s relative leverage, which was high before the Harborside transaction.
But we believe that the quality of Harborside’s facilities, plus the
margin enhancement and earnings kick, outweigh any negatives associated
with the price per bed and increased leverage. And the happiest investors
of all may be the former owners of Peak Medical, who took Sun common
shares in their transaction, shares that are now worth twice as much as
when they closed the deal at the end of 2005. |
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