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The SeniorCare Investor

June 2007 issue


Skilled Healthcare Debuts
IPO Priced, And The Ensign Group Files For Its IPO

Taking advantage of a strong market for skilled nursing facility companies, Skilled
Healthcare Group’s IPO is priced in the
high-end of its estimated range.
...
A Gem At A Record Price - A Florida CCRC Sets A New High Mark
There have been many transactions with high per-unit prices in the past two years, but a
CCRC in Florida sets the record for dollar amount for one property.
...
Assisted Living Market
Carlyle Senior Living completes a recapitalization of Chelsea Senior Living in
New Jersey, and a few additional sales occur in Florida, Michigan and Wyoming.
...
Skilled Nursing Market
Several Midwest skilled nursing facilities sold at relatively low prices, except for one in Ohio at well above the national average.
...
Updates
Formation Capital won the bidding contest for Genesis HealthCare, Manor Care is moving closer to a sale, and Advocat wins a proxy skirmish.
...
Financing News
New Jersey-based Spring Hills Health Care and Capital Senior Living secure attractive
refinancing packages.
...

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Articles Archive

Steve's BLOG on Senior Care

Companies Mentioned in this issue:
June 2007

A
Advocat p 14
B
Banc of America Securities p 2
Beverly Enterprises p 4
Bristol Investment Fund p 15
C
Cambridge Realty Capital
p 15
Canyon Creek Development p 8
Capital Senior Living p 15
Capital Trust, Inc. p 15
Capmark Finance p 15
Care Enterprises p 4
Carlyle Senior Living p 6
CB Richard Ellis
p 6
Chelsea Senior Living p 6
Credit Suisse p 2
D
D.A. Davidson & Co. p 4
E
Ensign Group Investments p 5
Episcopal Retirement Homes p 11
Extendicare Health p 11
F
Fannie Mae p 15
Fillmore Capital Partners p 12
Formation Capital p 12
Fountain View, Inc. p 2
G
Genesis HealthCare p 12
GranCare p 5
H
HUD p 15
J
Jefferies & Company p 2
JER Partners p 12
JPMorgan p 12
K
KKR p 14
L
LaSalle Bank
p 15
LifeHouse Retirement Properties p 10
Love Funding Corporation p 15
M
Manor Care p 1, p 12
Marcus & Millichap p 8
Mariner Health
p 5
Merrill Lynch Capital Healthcare Finance
p 5, p 8
N
National HealthCare Corp. p 2
O
Onex Partners
p 1
P
PRN Marshall Capital p 15
Prudential Real Estate Investors p 15
S
Salomon Brothers p 14
Selah SeniorCare, LLC p 6
Senior Living Investment Brokerage p 10
SHP Senior Living Services p 5
Skilled Healthcare Group p 1
Spring Hills Health Care, LLC p 15
Stifel Nicolaus
p 4
Summit Care p 2
Sunrise Senior Living p 2
Sunwest Management p 8
T
The Devonshire at PGA National
p 1
The Ensign Group p 4
U
UBS Investment Bank p 2

A Gem At A Record Price - A Florida CCRC Sets A New High Mark

Email Editor

Throughout the years there have been very good properties that have sold, some extremely good ones and the exceptional few, but rarely in the CCRC market. For the past decade, most CCRCs that come to market are being sold because of problems, which can range from old age, lack of fill-up, outdated configuration, new competition and in some cases, all of the above. The sales price usually ranges between $10 million and $90 million, but most of them are under $50 million, and most end up being under $100,000 per unit/bed because they are just not that profitable and often need significant capital improvements.

But once in a while, a truly unique property comes on the market that results, we believe in this case, in a record price. A special purpose LLC, controlled by Craig Anderson, last month purchased The Devonshire at PGA National, a 423-unit/bed CCRC in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. The community was built in 1999 and has 327 independent living units, 17 assisted living units, 19 Alzheimer’s units and a 60-bed skilled nursing center. It is an entrance fee CCRC, with entrance fees ranging from $222,000 to $687,000. We believe occupancy is close to 97%. SHP Senior Living Services, also controlled by Craig Anderson, will be managing the CCRC, which will be the operator’s fourth community in Florida under management.

The purchase price and financial details have not been disclosed, but we do know that Merrill Lynch Capital Healthcare Finance provided a total of $181.2 million in financing for the acquisition, which consisted of a $155.2 million senior term loan, a $6.4 million senior revolver and a $19.6 million mezzanine term loan. We do not know how much equity was put into the deal, but we assume it may have been up to $15 million. In addition to financing the acquisition cost, the Merrill financing also funded part of the closing costs plus the statutory minimum liquid reserve requirements. Consequently, our best guess is that the purchase price was somewhere between $160 million and $175 million, or between $380,000 per unit and $410,000 per unit. While the estimated per-unit price is not a record for a seniors housing property, we believe that the aggregate price is the highest ever paid for a single asset in the seniors housing market; the next highest one we could find was at least 30% lower than the low end of our estimated range. If someone knows of a higher-priced asset, we would like to hear about it and we will publish it next month.

As we mentioned, this is an entrance fee CCRC, but we understand that the refunds diminish over a relatively short period of time, which we assume to be a four-year time period, after which there may be a 10% refund. Since the average length of stay in CCRCs is much higher than this, we also assume most of the annual cash flow comes from the annual turnover. If there is an 8% annual turnover rate in the independent living units, with an average $450,000 entrance fee, the annual cash flow net of the refunds would be between $10 million and $11 million. But because this is uncertain, it could be a few million dollars below or above that in any given year. Assuming the annual cash flow from operations is much less significant, perhaps $1 million to $2 million, we derive a theoretical cap rate between 7% and 8%. Again, the financial aspects have not been disclosed and these figures represent our estimates based on the market and some local sources. Even though there are some CCRCs that, if they were put for up sale, would command a higher dollar total price than The Devonshire, that kind of trophy asset is rarely available on the market. But in the current hot market, this new record may not last the decade.

In a much smaller transaction, Selah SeniorCare, LLC purchased a 219-unit retirement community in Savannah, Georgia, from a West Coast operator. Occupancy had suffered because the community lost its executive director and marketing director for about a year, dropping to below 70% last year. Based on that occupancy level and rates in place, we estimated revenues to be close to $4.0 million and cash flow at breakeven. The independent living portion, with 149 units, was built in 1987 and could use some upgrading, while the assisted living (34 units) and Alzheimer’s (36 units) addition was built in 1998. The IL component has 120 one-bedroom units, 24 two-bedroom units and just five studios.

The purchase price was $10.5 million, or $47,900 per unit. If the buyer can get occupancy up to the 92% to 94% range, we estimate revenues could get to $5.4 million with EBITDA approaching $1 million, even though that would be a relatively low operating margin. The problem is that until the average rents of $1,700 in the IL part of the community can be increased, it will be difficult to maximize the profitability. The first step is census enhancement, with increased rates following. Bruce Gibson of CB Richard Ellis represented the seller. Mr. Gibson also just finished the first round of bids on a portfolio of eight assisted living facilities in the Southeast that may command a price of $200,000 per unit or more.

Assisted Living Market

In the largest assisted living transaction this month, Carlyle Senior Living purchased an 80% interest in seven assisted living facilities that were owned and operated by Chelsea Senior Living in New Jersey. Carlyle formed a joint venture with Chelsea, which will retain the other 20% interest. Merrill Lynch Capital Healthcare Finance provided a total of $91.5 million in financing, which includes the assumption by the joint venture of $23.5 million of existing debt on the portfolio and $68.0 million of new debt. The total value placed on the portfolio of seven properties was approximately $140 million, or $222,500 per unit.

There are a total of 629 units, most of which are traditional assisted living plus more than 100 Alzheimer’s units; one facility has a 31-unit independent living wing. In addition to these seven facilities, Chelsea manages a 195-unit community for a third party. The buildings are basically new, having been built in the past 10 years, and the occupancy of the portfolio is about 90%. Although we do not know the financial performance for 2006, in 2007 the portfolio is expected to have revenues and EBITDA of about $32 million and $10 million, respectively, for an implied cap rate of just over 7%.

There were several other interested parties in the Chelsea transaction, but Chelsea went with Carlyle to form a long-lasting partnership to help grow the company in New Jersey and perhaps beyond. Carlyle is looking to forge additional relationships with regional companies seeking to recapitalize their portfolios and to grow.

Carlyle is in the second round of bidding for a portfolio of 12 assisted living facilities that it thought would sell as a group. But in this case, because of the distinct geographic regions, with an East Coast and West Coast group, this may be a case of the sum of the parts being worth more than the whole, so the assets will most likely be split up for the highest regional bidders.

Canyon Creek Development is at it again, buying a 57-unit assisted and independent living facility in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from a private company based in St. Louis, Missouri. The property was built in 2005 but has struggled to get anywhere near stabilized occupancy. At 46% occupancy, revenues were just under $1.0 million with an operating loss, but pro forma revenues and EBITDA are $2.0 million and $650,000, respectively, with an assumed 32.5% margin. There are studios, one- and two-bedroom units, with assisted living rates ranging from $2,900 to $4,250 per month and independent living rates of $2,100 to $3,800 per month. The purchase price was $8.2 million, or $143,900 per unit, so the manager, Sunwest Management, will need to fill it very quickly to prevent the loss from expanding with its new capital costs adding to the existing negative cash flow. Mark Myers of Marcus & Millichap represented the seller.

Mr. Myers and Krone Weidler also sold a 61-unit assisted living facility outside of Pensacola, Florida that is licensed for 70 beds. Built in 1999, the one-story facility is fully stabilized, with about 70% of the residents private pay at an average rate of $2,670 per month and the remaining 30% under the state’s Medicaid waiver program at an average rate of about $1,600 per month. Current revenues and EBITDA are about $1.55 million and $500,000, respectively. The buyer, Selah SeniorCare, paid $4.8 million, or $78,700 per unit, which results in a 10.4% cap rate.

A little further down the Gulf Coast, in the Davis Islands/Old Hyde Park area of Tampa, an operator out of Pennsylvania purchased a 53-unit assisted living facility that was originally constructed in 1925 but had major renovations in 1990 and 2004. This was the only seniors housing asset of the seller, who was a multifamily and condominium developer, so it was a strategic disposition. Occupancy was just 80%, perhaps because it was a sideline business of the seller, so revenues were just over $1.1 million with minimum profits. The buyer intends to reposition rents, aggressively market the facility and target veterans. Current average rents are about $2,200 per month. The purchase price was $3.8 million, or $71,700 per unit. Bradley Clousing, Michael Brundage and Ryan Saul of Senior Living Investment Brokerage handled the sale.

Little known LifeHouse Retirement Properties (Pink Sheets: LHRP.PK) is beginning to pick up steam, with the acquisition of six properties so far this year. It still has $11.5 million of its acquisition equity line which can, according to management, be leveraged into $46 million of additional acquisitions. The company recently purchased three small assisted living facilities in Michigan for $5.28 million, or $44,000 per unit. Each of the facilities has 40 units and they are located in Mt. Pleasant, Clare and Grand Blanc. Revenues for the three combined are about $2.6 million, and the company now operates 13 assisted living facilities.

Skilled Nursing Market

With the high prices being paid for large skilled nursing companies and portfolios, we are hearing about more potential sellers thinking about putting their properties up for sale to take advantage of the premium pricing environment. This same phenomenon occurred in the assisted and independent living market a few years ago, prompting an unprecedented volume of high-end portfolios and properties to enter the market and drive down cap rates and push per-unit prices up to levels never before seen. The problem in the skilled nursing market, however, is that the majority of the existing inventory of facilities is quite old, and most of them still rely on Medicaid as the primary payor, with fickle government reimbursement in general accounting for 80% of their revenues. That tends to put a limit on value, especially when state Medicaid limits on capital reimbursement are taken into account.

Most of the sales we have found recently, however, are not the high-end ones we have been hearing about, and for the most part represent some of the issues facing a part of the senior care market that is struggling with its future. In the first sale, a Chicago-based private equity group purchased two skilled nursing facilities in Indiana from an out-of-state private investor who had leased the facilities to a local operator who ran into some financial difficulties. Both facilities are small, with 68 and 72 beds, more than 30 years old and with occupancy close to 75%. The seller had brought in a local manager to improve operations, which he did, and the buyer then leased the two facilities to that operator.

The purchase price for the two was $4.85 million, or about $34,600 per bed, which isn’t too bad for old Indiana nursing facilities with below-average occupancy. But it must be remembered that Indiana as a state has about the lowest nursing facility occupancy rate in the country, so within the state 75% isn’t too bad. Combined current annualized revenues are almost $5.1 million with EBITDA approaching $700,000. This results in a cap rate of 14.2% which is higher than the market average, but should be higher given the age, size and occupancy levels. Mark Myers and Chris Hyldahl of Marcus & Millichap represented the seller in the transaction.

Also in the Midwest, the team of Ray Giannini and Mike Pardoll of Marcus & Millichap sold a large skilled nursing facility in Milwaukee, Wisconsin that was under severe financial distress. The 35-year old property is licensed for 191 beds but two of the three wings were closed, so while actual occupancy was just 35%, effective occupancy was closer to 90%. Despite closing a majority of the facility, it posted substantial losses on about $3.7 million of annual revenues. A publicly traded REIT owned the building and leased it to a not-for-profit, but they just could not make it work.

The buyer, Extendicare Health (TSX: EXE.UN), which is now a Canadian REIT, has a plan that makes a lot of sense. The company, which paid about $2.5 million for the property and has a lot of experience in Wisconsin, plans to decrease the license of the existing property to about 90 or 100 beds, converting the 98-room facility into an all private-room facility and build up the Medicare and, to a lesser extent, the private pay census. It happens to be very close to two large hospitals, and while we don’t know why the previous operator did not take advantage of this proximity, Extendicare plans to. They can then transfer the CON for the remaining beds to another location in the state and build a state-of-the-art nursing facility. Unless we are missing something, this seems like a win-win to us.

In Texas, Tom Vogds and Mark Myers of Marcus & Millichap represented a publicly traded health care REIT in the sale of two underperforming nursing facilities that had been acquired in a larger portfolio. The two have a combined 170 beds, and are more than 40 years old with an average occupancy of about 55%. They are rural facilities and in some cases the private pay rate was less than the Medicaid rate. They were operating at a small loss on revenues of $4.3 million. We have no idea what the buyer plans to do with them, but with the low price of $2.0 million, or just under $12,000 per bed, capital costs won’t be much of a worry.

Before you start thinking the next sale will be under $10,000 per bed, some better-quality facilities do come onto the market. In Cincinnati, Ohio, Episcopal Retirement Homes sold a 170-bed nursing facility that had a 42-unit assisted living component, of which 18 units were for dementia patients. The original nursing part of the facility was built in the early 1960s but the assisted living addition came in 1998. The average Medicaid rate is just over $200 per day, and assisted living monthly rates average between $5,000 and $6,000. The occupancy rate is 95%, with 35% private pay, 56% Medicaid and 9% Medicare.

The buyer, a private Atlanta-based operator that bought its first facility in Ohio late last year, paid $20.5 million, or $96,700 per bed/unit. With revenues and EBITDA of $18.3 million and nearly $2.0 million, the gross income multiple and cap rate were 1.1x and 9.7%, respectively. Both acquisition multiples would be considered aggressive for a nursing facility, but when the assisted living portion is factored in, they are not. It is unknown what the impact will be of converting to a for-profit status, other than increased taxes, so the buyer will have to tread carefully to not ruffle any Episcopalian feathers in the community. Jacob Gehl and Mark Myers of Marcus & Millichap represented the seller. These two will also be coming to market very soon with a similar property, also in Ohio, which will have about 100 skilled nursing beds and about 100 IL/AL units. The community is full and the first round of bidding, with sealed bids, will take place in the next four to six weeks.

Moving westward, a 60-bed nursing facility in central Missouri was sold at the end of May to a regional company that plans to increase the census in general, but specifically the relatively low Medicare census (5%), by enhancing the relationship with the adjacent hospital, which is the primary acute care facility for the region. The nursing facility was built in 1982, and overall occupancy is just 70%, of which 80% is Medicaid.

Annualized revenues and EBITDA for 2007 are expected to be $2.3 million and $281,000, respectively, which takes into account a $9.02 per day increase in the Medicaid rate effective next month. The purchase price was $2.8 million, or $46,700 per bed. The implied 10% cap rate is aggressive for a small facility with its current census, but if the buyer can execute its Medicare and census strategy, it may look cheap by this time next year. Jeff Binder of Senior Living Investment Brokerage handled the sale.

In addition to the Michigan assisted living purchase mentioned above, LifeHouse Retirement Properties started the year with the $9.3 million acquisition of a skilled nursing facility in Sylmar, California. The pro forma EBITDA for the 12 months ended October 31, 2006 was about $1.7 million, so the implied cap rate was just above 18%.

At the same time, LifeHouse purchased the leasehold interest in another nursing facility in Bakersfield, California, which has a 20-year remaining term. The purchase price was $2.8 million, and with pro forma EBITDA of $1.0 million for the 12 months ended last October 31, that yields a 2.8x multiple of cash flow. The two facilities have a combined 325 beds and $18.1 million of revenues.

The company also purchased another leasehold interest in San Jacinto, California. The 199-bed nursing facility had revenues and pro forma EBITDA in 2006 of $12.4 million and $1.1 million, respectively. The lease has a 20-year remaining term, and with a price of $3.6 million, the cash flow multiple was 3.3x. Including some recent assisted living acquisitions, the company operates approximately 1,340 beds in California and Michigan with annualized revenues in excess of $50 million.

Updates

As most everyone knows by now, shareholders of Genesis HealthCare approved the sale of the company to a joint venture of Formation Capital and JER Partners for a final price of $69.35 per share, or a total transaction value of about $1.83 billion. This comes in at close to 10.9x trailing 12-month EBITDA and almost 10% higher than the original $63.00 per share deal agreed to last January. In what amounted to a game of chicken, the Formation Capital joint venture went head-to-head with spurned bidder Fillmore Capital Partners, whose last bid was $69.25 per share. It was quite a turbulent six weeks, with bids, counter-bids, shareholder letters, "ticking premiums," changed break-up fees and threatened legal action. In the end, shareholders received more than they were expecting, and the transaction should close in July. For the blow-by-blow detail of what happened over the past several weeks, we need only refer you to our blog at www.seniorcareinvestor.com for our somewhat opinionated commentary.

In the other major deal in the works, we have heard that up to 12 bidders, all of which we assume are financial buyers, made it to the second round for Manor Care. We have also heard that JPMorgan, which is representing Manor Care, has put on the table a financing package for the winning bidder that includes up to $4.5 billion in secured financing for the "Propco" and $600.0 million in working capital financing for "Opco." At its current price of about $67.70 per share, Manor Care’s market cap is $4.95 billion, and when you throw in the existing debt, the total value comes to about $5.9 billion, before any premium is paid. This means that a qualified buyer would have to put up $1.5 billion of equity, which would not be too difficult in today’s flush capital market, but it still represents a large number for a company trading at its peak. A premium over the current price will have to be paid by the winner, and we hear that the number is getting bigger. While it is true that in the skilled nursing business it doesn’t get much better than the portfolio of assets owned by HCR, there appears to be a growing disconnect between capital and an underlying risk premium that should apply when most of your profits come from Medicare. But what do we know?

Management made a short-lived attempt to take the company private almost two years ago, but most people have forgotten that management also tried to buy the company in late 1990 from the owner at the time, Owens-Illinois (which itself was owned by KKR). It seemed like they were wrapping up most of the details of the deal, backed by a Chicago-based private equity firm, at a time when the investment climate was not very good, the economy had fallen into a recession and Iraq had invaded Kuwait. But by the time all the details had been worked out and the buy-out group had arranged $265 million of financing with Salomon Brothers (can you believe the amount?), the financial environment had changed dramatically, stock prices were rising following the defeat of Iraq in Kuwait and the IPO market heated up, with smaller skilled nursing companies debuting with high market valuations. It ended up being more profitable for KKR to take the company public, and the rest is history. Let’s see what happens this time.

In other news, there was a short-lived proxy battle for control of the board of Advocat (NASDAQ: AVCA), which ended with more than 80% of the votes cast supporting the company’s nominees for the board at the annual meeting. A non-shareholder, Todd Robinson, together with Essel Bailey, tried to stop Advocat from holding its annual meeting and adjourn to a later date unless the board first appointed Robinson, Bailey and a third member of the group, Terry Cash, to the board. Apparently, they believe that management and the board is not representing the best interests of shareholders, as evidenced by management’s unwillingness to enter into negotiations to buy several skilled nursing facilities owned by them and other groups they are involved with. According to Mr. Robinson, they approached management several times over the past year, but were rebuffed for a variety of reasons, one of which was the low price of Advocat’s stock price at the time. Advocat thought they were trying to gain control of the company be selling facilities to it for stock at a time when the share price was low, but the other side has claimed they would have taken cash or stock. Advocat would not return our call to comment on the situation, so we have only heard one side.

What is unusual, to say the least, is that this "proxy group" does not seem to own any shares, so their argument about doing what is best for shareholders is a little suspect, and perhaps self-serving. They believe that Advocat can grow much larger, which would ultimately enhance shareholder value, and this is probably true. Our guess is that because Advocat has such a small market cap this group would like to take it over, double its size with some acquisitions of their nursing facilities, which have a good regional fit, and either continue to grow it or set it up for a sale. In March, one shareholder with a 4.4% stake, Bristol Investment Fund, urged the company to set up a special committee of the board and start an auction of the company. In the first quarter earnings call, most of the investors seemed to be appeased by management as to the direction of the company, as well as the fact that management had a lot of work to complete over the past year with regard to its capital structure before it could embark on a growth plan. While this is all true, we do not believe we have heard the end of this little skirmish.

Financing News

New Jersey has been seeing a lot of action lately. In addition to the financing by Merrill Lynch of the Chelsea Senior Living portfolio (mentioned on page 8 of this issue), PRN Marshall Capital arranged $66.3 million in financing for Spring Hills Health Care, LLC. Of the total amount, a $61.5 million first mortgage loan was provided by Capital Trust, Inc. (NYSE: CT) while a $4.8 million second mortgage was funded by LaSalle Bank. The loans are secured by the seven-property portfolio which has 675 assisted living beds in New Jersey. The loan proceeds were used to refinance six of the facilities, exercise a lease purchase option to acquire the seventh and provide more than $6.0 million in working capital and marketing reserves to stabilize the portfolio which had been acquired over the past five years.

Capital Senior Living (NYSE: CSU) completed a $30.0 million refinancing of four of its communities with four new 10-year mortgages with a fixed rate of 5.9%, which is 170 basis points lower than the previous debt. The annual savings is expected to be about $500,000. Capmark Finance placed the debt with Fannie Mae. Separately, CSU formed a joint venture with Prudential Real Estate Investors to develop a 146-unit retirement community in Miamisburg, Ohio that is expected to open in the second or third quarter of 2008. The joint venture will be funded 10% by CSU and 90% by Prudential.

In two smaller transactions, Cambridge Realty Capital provided a $7.6 million HUD loan for a 149-bed supportive living facility in the Jackson Park neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. Leonard Lucas of Love Funding Corporation secured a $2.5 million HUD loan for a 65-unit senior housing facility built in 1986 that had an existing $2.2 million loan balance with a 9.25% interest rate. With a new interest rate of 5.87%, the annual debt service will drop by $58,000 for the not-for-profit owner.

 

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